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Esport · dota2 · Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs oveA (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Decider

Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs oveA (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Decider

EsportInizio 9 nov, 15:00 UTCAperto
Prezzo Polymarket · Sì42¢
24h—
Volume1,10K USD
Movimenti spiegati2

Prezzo e movimenti rilevanti

Rotella, trascinamento o pizzico per ingrandire
Grafico del prezzo con marcatori sui movimenti20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢70¢8 nov, 23:539 nov, 03:389 nov, 07:239 nov, 11:089 nov, 14:531−232−24.53+13.54+95+96+7
Prezzo Sì (¢)Movimento al rialzoMovimento al ribassoClic su un marcatore per leggere la spiegazione

Movimento 5 · perché il prezzo si è mosso

Arbitro
+9 pt
45¢ → 54¢
9 nov, 11:38 UTC → 12:38

Spiegazione in preparazione: di solito arriva entro pochi minuti.

Perché sì

Avvocato «sì»
  1. The dossier contains no team news, lineup changes, roster problems or match conditions that would justify a large drop in the YES side's price. The only items are listing pages with the matchup title and date. A sharp move with no documented fundamental cause may be an overreaction that overstates the YES side's disadvantage.

  2. Both Robinhood pages were logged at 00:13 on November 9, before the price slide began. They contain only the title and platform and no substantive information. The listing's appearance therefore does not explain the later move, which fits the idea that the decline came from thin trading or sentiment rather than new information.

  3. The market is a best-of-three, a format that tends to reward the more resilient side over several games and reduces the weight of one bad map. The dossier gives no evidence that the YES side is weaker in this format, so the lower price may reflect a pessimism the available facts do not support.

  4. The event starts hours after the move. The dossier shows no information, such as injuries, stand-ins or visa problems, that would have emerged by then to justify a revised view. Without such news, the earlier, higher price remains a reasonable reference point and the current level may undervalue the YES outcome.

  5. The opposing case treats the lack of fundamentals as evidence that the lower price is right, but the dossier cuts both ways. Items 731 and 732 contain only the matchup, the platform and the date, with no team news, lineup information or match conditions. Without any such information, nothing in the record explains or supports the 24.5-point slide. The fall therefore cannot be read as a reaction to credible new information. It may simply reflect thin or sentiment-driven trading, and the earlier level is not shown to have been wrong. · replica

  6. The opponents say the two items are one listing duplicated and so provide no support for YES. That is true, but it equally means nothing in the dossier supports the lower price. Both entries were logged at about 00:13, before the move, and carry no substantive content (731, 732). A listing page that only names the teams is neutral evidence. It cannot confirm that the market's lower price is justified, so the gap between the two price levels remains unexplained and not a verdict against YES. · replica

Perché no

Avvocato «no»
  1. The dossier contains no team news, lineup information or match conditions that would justify the current price. The only items are generic prediction-market listing pages. A price that rests on no identifiable fundamentals gives little reason to think the outcome is as likely as quoted, and the sharp fall could be a sign that the earlier level was too high.

  2. Both dossier items are platform listing pages that give only the matchup and the date. They were logged around 00:13, before the price slide in the early hours of November 9. They contain nothing that would explain the move or show that the market is reacting to new, credible information, so the lower price offers no confirmation that the event is more likely than the market implies.

  3. The two items look like the same listing published twice, not independent reporting. The evidence base is therefore thin and no source supports a case for the YES outcome. When the only available material is non-substantive, there is more room for the price to overstate the outcome's chances.

  4. The opposing case treats the absence of a documented cause as evidence of an overreaction, but the dossier cannot support that inference either way. The only items are two listing pages with a title, date and platform and no team or match content (731, 732). Because they say nothing about either side, they give no basis for calling the earlier, higher price the correct reference point or the current level a mispricing. A lack of explanatory news in the dossier does not show that the move lacked information. · replica

  5. The claims about thin trading, sentiment and best-of-three resilience are not backed by any dossier fact. Nothing in the listings covers liquidity, order flow, format effects or how the teams perform over a series (731, 732). The argument that the YES side is undervalued therefore relies on assumptions as much as the move itself does. The 00:13 timestamps only show when the listing pages were logged, not that the later price change was unfounded. · replica