← Tutti i mercati
Esport · dota2 · Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

EsportInizio 9 nov, 13:10 UTCAperto
Prezzo Polymarket · Sì96¢
24h—
Volume4,30K USD
Movimenti spiegati5
Stai leggendo la versione 4 del dibattito; l'ultima è la 5.Vai all'ultima versione

Prezzo e movimenti rilevanti

Rotella, trascinamento o pizzico per ingrandire
Grafico del prezzo con marcatori sui movimenti20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢8 nov, 23:539 nov, 03:389 nov, 07:239 nov, 11:089 nov, 14:531−23.52+22.53−234−235−186+57−10
Prezzo Sì (¢)Movimento al rialzoMovimento al ribassoClic su un marcatore per leggere la spiegazione

Movimento 7 · perché il prezzo si è mosso

Arbitro
−10 pt
38¢ → 28¢
9 nov, 12:08 UTC → 13:08

Spiegazione in preparazione: di solito arriva entro pochi minuti.

Perché sì

Avvocato «sì»
  1. The only dossier items are two title-only captures of the Hawk Live 1win Essence III Play-In page. They contain no lineup problems, roster issues, or poor-form reports for angry birds. With no negative information on record, a heavy discount on this side is hard to justify, and the price may still understate it.

  2. The price moved sharply within seconds on 2026-11-09, but the dossier has no news, result, or roster change that explains it. A jump with no documented cause looks more like a thin-market repricing than a response to new fundamentals. The earlier, much lower price may have been the stale or distorted level, and the current quote may not yet have fully caught up.

  3. The match is part of a Play-In group stage, which the Hawk Live schedule, standings, and results page covers. That stage is usually a qualification round, where results depend on the matchups at hand and not on established reputation. Since the dossier has no form data separating the teams, it gives no reason to treat the market's implied gap as settled, and the YES side could be underpriced.

  4. The latest dossier capture is from 2026-11-06, several days before the 2026-11-09 move. It holds no match-specific details, so nothing on record supports the market's cautious view of YES. Any information that emerges before the scheduled start could push the YES side up, which keeps open the possibility that the current price is too low.

  5. The opposing case relies on the absence of evidence, and that cuts both ways. The dossier is title-only, so it gives no support for a reversal and no support for the earlier lower price either. Facts 733 and 734 only confirm that this match belongs to a real, scheduled Play-In stage covered by Hawk Live. They do not show the move is an artifact. The record is simply too thin to say whether the repricing reflects information that was not captured. · replica

  6. The claim that the move may partly reverse is speculation, because nothing in the dossier points to thin liquidity or a single order. The only dated items are from 2026-11-06, and the move happened on 2026-11-09, so the sources predate it and cannot rule out newer information, such as lineup or schedule updates, appearing in between. The dossier's silence on that period is a coverage gap rather than evidence that the near-even price is unjustified. · replica

Perché no

Avvocato «no»
  1. The dossier contains no match-specific information such as lineups, results, or team form. Both items are title-only captures of a Hawk Live schedule/standings page, so nothing in the record supports the sharp upward repricing and the move looks unanchored to fundamentals.

  2. The price moved within a few seconds, from a much lower level to near the midpoint. The dossier contains no news from around 2026-11-09 that would explain such a move, which is consistent with a thin-liquidity or single-order artifact. A move like that may partly reverse instead of reflecting new information.

  3. The only dated sources are from 2026-11-06, days before the move and before the event start. They give no evidence of a change in roster, form, or standing that would justify moving the underdog-leaning pre-move price to roughly even.

  4. The material covers the Play-In stage generically and gives no results or standings for this Group A match. With no evidence that this team is stronger than the earlier lower price implied, the current near-even price may overstate its chances.

  5. The opposing case relies on missing evidence, but the absence of negative news is not positive evidence for angry birds. Both Hawk Live captures contain only the page title, with no lineups, results or form data for either side. The dossier gives no basis to say the current quote understates this team, and it equally gives no basis to say it overstates it. Treating silence as an argument for YES is not supported. · replica

  6. The opposition says the sharp move has no documented cause and may be a thin-market artifact, with the earlier price being the distorted level. That is speculation, because nothing in the dossier shows which level was stale. The only items are title-only pages from 2026-11-06, which say nothing about the 2026-11-09 repricing. An unexplained jump is a reason for caution about reading too much into either price, not evidence that the current quote has further to rise. The same applies to the claim that Play-In outcomes hinge on matchups: the Hawk Live page is only a schedule, standings and results listing with no form data, so it cannot show that the market's view is mistaken. · replica