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Esport · dota2 · Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

EsportInizio 9 nov, 10:00 UTCRisolto
Prezzo Polymarket · Sì100¢
24h—
Volume15,95K USD
Movimenti spiegati2
Esito: SìMercato risolto: 9 nov, 14:09 UTCApri il replay
Stai leggendo la versione 1 del dibattito; l'ultima è la 2.Vai all'ultima versione

Prezzo e movimenti rilevanti

Rotella, trascinamento o pizzico per ingrandire
Grafico del prezzo con marcatori sui movimenti15¢35¢55¢75¢95¢8 nov, 23:539 nov, 03:279 nov, 07:019 nov, 10:349 nov, 14:081−22.52+8.53+304+125−86+5.57−6.58+379+7.510+16
Prezzo Sì (¢)Movimento al rialzoMovimento al ribassoClic su un marcatore per leggere la spiegazione

Movimento 10 · perché il prezzo si è mosso

Arbitro
+16 pt
63¢ → 79¢
9 nov, 12:38 UTC → 12:53

Nessuna spiegazione disponibile.

Perché sì

Avvocato «sì»
  1. The only documented fact about Spirit Academy shows an active competitive team. A Robinhood prediction-market page lists a Spirit Academy vs. Inner Circle Esports match for 7 November, the day before this BO3. Playing in the days just before the series suggests the roster is in match rhythm, which can help a team that has just played.

  2. The dossier contains nothing that explains the sharp overnight fall in the YES price. The snippet gives no result, lineup or odds information, so no roster problem, stand-in or lopsided result is documented. A move with no supporting information on record may be an overreaction that leaves YES underpriced.

  3. A match the previous day could be read as a fatigue risk, but the dossier does not support that. No result or match length is given, so there is no evidence of a draining series, a loss or a morale problem. Back-to-back days are also a normal feature of group-stage scheduling that applies to both teams. The fatigue concern therefore does not clearly justify a lower price for Spirit Academy.

  4. The market has already recovered part of the drop since the low. This fits the view that the initial selloff went beyond what the available information justified. The dossier offers nothing that would confirm the lower level, so further correction toward the earlier assessment remains plausible.

  5. The fatigue argument rests on a single fact: Spirit Academy had a match scheduled for 7 November (fact 735). The listing gives no result, length, lineup or any sign the series was demanding. A scheduled fixture is also routine in a group-stage event, and the dossier does not show the Zero Tenacity BO3 was set up on an unusually short turnaround. The schedule point alone does not show a disadvantage. · replica

  6. The point that the dossier cannot confirm good form cuts both ways. Fact 735 gives no result, lineup or odds information, so it offers no evidence of poor form, a roster problem or a loss either. The lack of detail therefore does not support a lower price for Spirit Academy. It only shows the dossier is too thin to explain the large earlier drop, so the current price should not be read as confirmed weakness. · replica

Perché no

Avvocato «no»
  1. Spirit Academy had a fixture scheduled for 7 November against Inner Circle Esports, the day before the Zero Tenacity BO3 window opened. A tight schedule can mean less preparation time and more fatigue going into a best-of-three. That is a plausible reason for the side to be less likely to win than the current price implies.

  2. The only available snippet about Spirit Academy's recent activity gives no result, lineup or odds information. Nothing in the dossier shows the team arrived in good form or with a settled roster. A price that has recovered from its low therefore rests on information the dossier cannot confirm.

  3. The source is a prediction-market listing page, not a match report or team news. It confirms only that the prior match was scheduled, not how it went or how the team looked. Without evidence of a strong showing, the case for pricing Spirit Academy higher after the sharp drop is weak, and caution is warranted.

  4. The match-rhythm argument rests on more than the dossier supports. The only fact is that a Spirit Academy vs. Inner Circle Esports match was listed for 7 November, and the snippet gives no result, lineup or odds. It cannot show that the team played well, kept its roster intact, or gained anything from the match. The same fact can just as easily describe a heavy schedule going into the Zero Tenacity BO3, so it does not make a stronger case for YES. · replica

  5. The argument that the drop is an unexplained overreaction cuts both ways. The dossier also holds nothing that confirms the earlier higher level was right, or that the recovery from the low is the start of a correction. The one documented item, a match the day before the series, is at least consistent with a schedule burden for Spirit Academy. The page does not say how the match went or whether it ran long, so it neither proves nor rules out a cost. Without information pointing the other way, treating the drop as an error is an assumption, and the current price is not shown to be mispriced. · replica